The Great Replacement: Europe’s Natality Crisis

We’ve all seen the numbers of the growing Islamization of Europe, with France and Sweden somewhere around 10% Islamic, the Netherlands and Belgium at least 8%, and Germany, Norway, Austria, Switzerland, Greece, and Britain at least 6% (not to mention the 11% of Bulgaria, 20% of Montenegro, 25% of Cyprus, 40% of Macedonia, 46% of Bosnia and Herzegovina, 58% of Albania, and 96% of Kosovo that is Islamic).

In the Zero Migration projection by Pew Research, the Muslim population on the continent will have grown 39% by 2050 with a 10% decline in the continent’s non-Muslim population, a scenario which would have profound ramifications on the life and culture of the continent as we know it—and this is assuming not a single more “migrant” set foot on the continent. We all know this is not going to happen. In the Medium Migration scenario from Pew Research, the Muslim share of the population would grow 125%, and in the High Migration scenario, 193%.

The repercussions are frankly horrifying; with parallel sharia courts in the UK and Germany, with rampant criminality, sexual assault, grooming gangs, terrorism, deteriorating social cohesion, No-Go Zones growing like tumors in so many of the urban population centers of Europe, honor killings, and acid attacks already fixtures of life now, imagine what life looks like under the High Migration scenario when Austria and Germany are 20% Muslim, France and Germany are 18%, the UK and Norway are 17%, Italy, Finland, Denmark, and the Netherlands are upwards of 15%, Switzerland is 13%…oh, and Sweden is 30% Muslim.

Between the period of 2010 and 2016, Europe saw a 2.92 million Muslim increase due to live births, a 3.48 million Muslim increase due to immigration (which is very probably much higher given the non-existent border enforcement and refugee/asylum seeker vetting), and a 160,000 Muslim increase due to conversions.

Turkish dictator Recep Erdogan is publicly urging all Muslims engaged in the hijrah in Europe to have at least five children, echoing Norwegian imam Mullah Krekar’s sentiment that the key to victory lies in the wombs of Muslim women, and that the Mohammedans must “breed like mosquitoes.” Of course quoting Mullah Krekar in Canada will see you dragged in front of a Human Rights Commission or three as we saw with Mark Steyn, but that doesn’t mean it’s not happening. The impact of Islam on European culture has been seismic, and it can only increase with the way things are going. This is on top of the alienism in the form of non-Islamic Third World migrants and the spate of issues they bring with them. Though not motivated by an ideology that necessitate they subvert and transform the institutions of their host countries, it happens as a consequence anyway, as they nonetheless have proven to a depressingly large degree to be utterly incapable of adapting and contributing to modern societies; the ramifications of non-Islamic Third World immigration have also been incredibly destructive.

The numbers are extraordinarily difficult to pin down, but after averaging out a bunch of different figures I’ve gotten from sources I trust, it looks like something to the tune of seven million non-European “migrants” have arrived on the continent since 2010, with over half being Muslim. Since 2010, Syria has witnessed a 536% explosion in emigration; South Sudan is at 334%, the Central African Republic 204%, Sao Tome and Principe 167%, Eritrea 119%, Namibia 90%, Rwanda 73%, Botswana 70%, Sudan 63%, and Burundi 55%. In 2017, about 5.2 million North African immigrants lived in the EU countries, Norway, and Switzerland. The total number of emigrants worldwide from all sub-Saharan African countries combined grew by 31% between 2010 and 2017; the Middle East-North Africa region saw a larger increase (39%) of people living outside of their birth country during the same span. The scariest part is that all of this has simply been a drop in the bucket in terms of the global population explosion. The United Nations 2017 world population prospects predicts 2.5 billion inhabitants on the African continent by 2050, with many countries’ populations tripling or quadrupling in that time frame. The average person’s age in some of these countries bears significant attention:

  • Niger: 15.3 years of age
  • Uganda: 15.7 years of age
  • Mali: 16.2 years of age
  • Malawi: 16.5 years of age
  • Zambia: 16.7 years of age
  • Burundi: 17
  • South Sudan: 17.1
  • Burkina Faso: 17.2
  • Chad: 17.6
  • Tanzania: 17.6
  • Ethiopia: 17.8
  • Somalia: 17.9

Contrast this with the developed world:

  • Japan: 46.9 years of age
  • Germany: 46.8 years of age
  • Italy: 45.1 years of age
  • Spain: 42.3 years of age
  • Canada: 42 years of age
  • South Korea: 41.2
  • France: 41.2
  • The United Kingdom: 40.5
  • Taiwan: 40.2
  • Australia: 38.6
  • The United States of America: 37.9
  • New Zealand: 37.8

Mean age at child-bearing for the countries of Europe:

  • Spain: 31.9 years of age
  • Switzerland: 31.8 years of age
  • Luxembourg: 31.7 years of age
  • Italy: 31.7 years of age
  • Ireland: 31.4 years of age
  • Germany: 31.3 years of age
  • Greece: 31.3 years of age
  • Denmark: 31 years of age
  • Sweden: 31 years of age
  • The Netherlands: 30.9 years of age
  • Austria: 30.8
  • Portugal: 30.7
  • Slovenia: 30.6
  • Norway: 30.6
  • Iceland: 30.6
  • Finland: 30.6
  • Czech Republic: 30.6
  • Malta: 30.4
  • United Kingdom: 30.4
  • Estonia: 30.3
  • France: 30.3
  • Croatia: 30.2
  • Hungary: 30.2
  • Latvia: 30.2
  • Cyprus: 29.8
  • Lithuania: 29.7
  • Slovakia: 29.6
  • Poland: 29.4
  • Montenegro: 29.4
  • Bosnia and Herzegovina: 29.3
  • Serbia: 29.2
  • Macedonia: 29
  • Russia: 28.8
  • Belarus: 28.5
  • Bulgaria: 28.2
  • Ukraine: 28
  • Romania: 28
  • Albania: 27.5
  • Moldova: 27
  • Kosovo: Unknown
  • Liechtenstein: Unknown
  • San Marino: Unknown
  • Andorra: Unknown
  • Monaco: Unknown

Not only are Europeans (and the rest of the developed world) waiting longer to have children, they are having fewer, which stands in stark contrast to the Third World. Per the Population Reference Bureau for the year 2017, here are the average number of births per woman globally (selected):

  • Niger: 7.3
  • Chad: 6.4
  • Somalia: 6.4
  • The Democratic Republic of the Congo: 6.3
  • Angola: 6.2
  • Mali: 6
  • Burkina Faso: 5.7
  • Nigeria: 5.5
  • Uganda: 5.4
  • Afghanistan: 5.3
  • Ivory Coast: 5
  • Yemen: 4.1
  • Iraq: 4.1
  • Israel: 3.1
  • Haiti: 2.9
  • New Zealand: 1.9
  • France: 1.9
  • Sweden: 1.9
  • Australia: 1.8
  • The United Kingdom: 1.8
  • The United States: 1.8
  • Canada: 1.6
  • Japan: 1.5
  • Germany: 1.5
  • Spain: 1.3
  • Italy: 1.3
  • South Korea: 1.2
  • Taiwan: 1.2

The heavy influx of non-European migrants to the Western and Central parts of Europe is a pressing issue, but it is compounded dramatically by the entire continent’s natality crisis. Two-thirds of Belarusian couples have just one child, and like its neighbors, Belarus is rapidly losing population due to a confluence of low birth rates and high emigration; additionally there is a decade-wide gap between the life expectancies of men (67 years) and women (77 years). In 2030, the population is expected to be a full million less than it is now, a loss of one person every thirty-seven minutes. Russia and the Ukraine have similar issues, with women outliving men by an average of ten years; this is such an extreme disparity in Russia in particular that there are 10.5 million more women than men. Additionally, both countries have higher death rates than birth rates, and once again factoring in emigration, Russia has a net loss of one person every twenty-six minutes, and the Ukraine has a staggering net loss of one person every two minutes.

Romania experiences a net population decrease of one person every five minutes, and Bulgaria experiences a net population decrease of one person every eleven minutes. Romania currently has 19.4 million people but is projected to have just 15.3 million in 2060. Bulgaria had a population of nine million in 1986, and now has less than six. Along with Latvia, it is the only country in the world with a lower population now than it had in 1950. Aldis Austers, chairman of the European Latvians’ Association, said, “We have a joke that in 2030 the last Latvians can switch off the lights at the Riga airport.” The Baltic region has lost one-fifth of its population since the fall of the Soviet Union, making it one of the most rapidly de-populating areas of the world. Latvia loses about 30,000 people a year, mostly the young to emigration, and coupled with the disparity of births versus deaths equates to the net loss of one person every half hour. Estonia’s population is expected to decline from 1.3 million to 1.1 million in 2030 and 860,000 in 2060. Lithuania’s population has gone from 3.7 million in 1992 to 2.9 million today to a projected 2.5 million in 2060.

According to World Population Review, Serbia:

Has been in demographic crisis since the early 1990’s with a death rate that still exceeds its birth rate. Serbia, along with Bulgaria, has one of the most negative population growth rates in the world, with one of the lowest fertility rates (just 1.44 children per woman). 1/5th of all households consist of just one person and Serbia has among the ten oldest populations in the world. Serbia had the largest refugee population in Europe just twenty years ago, accounting for 7.5% of its population. 300,000 people left the country in the ’90s, one-fifth of which had a higher education…Serbia has been struggling to overcome its population decline, even turning to singles nights, generous maternity leave and cash bonuses for new parents in some towns. Despite its best efforts, Serbia has been unable to reverse this trend, and its population is expected to continue its downward movement for many years.[1]

 

Over in Croatia, the death rate has exceeded its birth rate since 1991, and its population has fallen from 4.7 million in that year to 4.1 million, and is expected to be 3.1 million by 2050. Moldova’s current population of just over four million is expected to be under three million by 2060; estimates range from a fifth to a quarter of Moldova’s population currently living abroad and, like most of the rest of Europe, its live births are outpaced by deaths and emigration. Slovakia’s population is due to decline by about half a million by mid-century, and a similar fate awaits Bosnia and Herzegovina, which already has 800,000 fewer people than in 1991 and has a pitiful birthrate of 1.2 children per woman.

This truly is a continent-wide crisis. Euronews recently published an article, excerpted here:

The Polish Health ministry has released a video to encourage its citizens to start ‘breeding like rabbits’. Poland has one of the lowest birth rates in Europe and it’s resulting in severe population decline. In 2015 the rate was at 1.32 children per woman, with only Portugal having a lower figure [among EU countries], while Spain and Greece were almost the same. While this campaign was seen as very subtle, Europe’s declining populations have been tackled before. A Danish travel agency was a little more direct with an advert which went viral, asking would-be grandparents to pay for a holiday for their children so that they are more likely to get grandchildren. It was credited for the births of an extra 1200 babies. But efforts haven’t always gone to plan. In Italy, a government campaign to combat infertility stumbled when people took to the streets to protest an ad campaign for a ‘fertility day’, which was denounced as sexist, racist and ignorant of the economic reasons why Italians aren’t having babies. And in Russia, the decline in population has been high on the agenda since the breakup of the Soviet Union. Between 1992 and 2009, the country lost about six million people, or four percent of its population. In an attempt to combat this, Vladimir Putin introduced schemes to give extra cash to people when they have their second and third children. And if you have seven or more children you get invited to the Kremlin to receive a medal.[2]

While some of these solutions may seem a little silly, they reflect the reality that a nation simply cannot continue to exist without people! While Africa fills to the point of bursting the temptation of the weakly-defended golden eggs of Europe will prove too much for more and more of their number, not to mention the crazed Mohammedeans of the Middle East and South Asia possessed with visions of the grand jihad. They’ll fight to carve up what they perceive to be the bloated carcass of Europe, and who of our number will rise up to stop them? Will there be any Europeans left? Will there be a Europe left to defend? Immigrant birth-rates are dramatically outpacing native Europeans’, which, coupled with continued mass migration into the continent, represents a demographic time bomb. The battle for the future of Europe, as much as anywhere else, will be decided in the bedroom.

 

[1] http://worldpopulationreview.com/countries/serbia-population/

[2] http://www.euronews.com/2017/11/09/fight-for-fertility-in-europe

John Q. Publius writes for Defend Europa and Republic Standard, and is responsible for the website The Anatomically Correct Banana.